[Spiral Path]

Sorry, Michael, bad news. Unfortunately the whole region of the eastern Mediterranean is quite unstable. But so is California and millions of people live there quite happily in spite of the constant threat of earthquakes. Of course you have to remember that I look at it in geological terms. In the particular location you have chosen (and I am sure it's a beautiful spot - and probably reasonably affordable), earthquakes may only occur every few hundred or even thousand years (a mere "instant" in the history of the Earth) and chances that one would happen in your lifetime are very slim. So my advice is - go ahead and get your dream place there! But be sure to always pay your earthquake insurance! Also remember - it's usually not the earthquake per se that kills people, it's mostly the buildings they live in, when they collapse! So google on the Internet for modern earthquake-safe building styles and try to get or build one of those. Then relax and enjoy your new-found climatic paradise!

As far as earthquake prediction for this area is concerned - even if my method would be accepted tomorrow and I would get funding for further work immediately as well as have supercomputers and a whole army of seismologists available, it might still be a few decades away until they have decoded the probable earthquake signature for each minor fault in any area - and there are plenty of those in a tectonically very complex region like Turkey. Until then you just have to be fatalistic and enjoy the sun and the sea in spite of the ever present danger - like the Californians do.

Warm regards and best wishes for your retirement dream to come true. S.P.