| the Singer-Avery factor -
10-08-2007, 02:19 PM
Eleven years ago Willi Dansgaard of Denmark, Hans Oeschger of Switzerland, and Claude Lorius of France shared the Tyler Prize, environmental equivalent of the Nobel Prize. Although their award citations did not mention the 1,500-year climate cycle they discovered or its power for forecasting changes in the global atmosphere, nevertheless their discovery uncovers the most plausible cause of global warming.
Recently, S. Fred Singer and Dennis T. Avery coauthored ‘Unstoppable Global Warming: Every 1,500 Years’ and as the title clearly implies this is not man-made CO2 cause and effect. It has nothing to do with a 100-year industrial technology contribution. Its cause is the changing activities of the sun approximately 93,000,000 miles away.
Therefore, there can be two supplementary aspects to global warming: the circumstantial local short term effect and the evidential global long term effect. The local one is the CO2 factor of greenhouse gases. The global one is the Singer-Avery factor. Unfortunately, this latter factor requires multiple generations of human existence for its verification. On the other hand, it raises two questions on psychological factors crucial to the immediate well being of present global human populations: their close comfort and health hazard. 1. Why do some people smoke even if they know it causes mouth, throat, or lung cancer? 2. Why do some people consume refined sugar, trans fats, or high cholesterol food stuff even if they know the result is obesity, diabetes, and cardiac diseases? It is obvious that most people only care about immediate gratifications rather than long term consequences at the end of their lives. But there is one more psychological factor not widely known: the dread factor.
Time independence: [∂E(g)]˛=[∂F(a)×∂r(a)]·[∂F(b)×∂r(b)] and Mass independence: ¶a(t)·¶r(t)=c˛
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