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Re: What does probability say to you?
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Thumbs up Re: What does probability say to you? - 10-15-2007, 03:44 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by everymansmedium View Post
The initial start must be most basic. Simple single cell division. The most basic form of life that can continue/regenerate. We are trying to guess at the smallest possible data packet that will result in the most basic form of sustainable life.

This will give us the odds of it happening at random. This might be interesting to estimate this number.
John, I think we should start here. But in order to calculate the odds of the required data packet coming into being by a random process we first need to establish the set boundaries of where we draw the random number from.

IE: what inorganics, sugars, etc were already present (by selective random processes of course) prior to the sustainable packet coming into existence. Remember, each one is a stepping stone, which reduces the improbability of the final data packet we have fixed on. The single celled critter


Quote:
Originally Posted by everymansmedium View Post
NEXT:
How many colonies would a colonizer colonize, If a colonizer could colonize a colony?

The answer to that question is simply >1, It might be infinitely >1. But this thought says if there is any race of beings colonizing planets anywhere in the universe, they alter the odds of a planet being colonized because they colonize more that one planet. And each planet that they colonize may also colonize more than one. This is a very profound concept because it indicates a trend. Any that know about probability know that a trend can play a big part in calculating the odds of any occurrence. The occurrence that we might be concerned with is:

How did we get here? I think I have all possibilities cataloged.
#1: We began here as the result of a random act.
#2: We began here as the result of divine intervention.
#3: We are a colony of some other society that we have forgotten.
#4: Our seed was brought here from elsewhere by an intelligent source.
#5: Our seed came from space as the result of a previous cause.
John, I have read all this and I think its very good. You have obviously given a lot of thought in the quiet wee hours to this. I think you have enough in this post to start many threads. If you want i would prefer to kick off with the single celled critter and build up to the rest. Others may think different, I am happy to go with the flow

cool bananas ... greg


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