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    Why People Believe Weird Things

    25 Reasons People Believe Weird Things

    April 28th, 2008 | Published in Life, Pseudoscience, Religion, Science
    We can believe weird things, from ghosts to alien abductions to ESP to young-earth creationism. Have you ever wondered how smart people can believe such things? These answers are adapted from Michael Shermer’s excellent Why People Believe Weird Things:

    Problems in Scientific Thinking

    1. Theory Influences Observations — When you have a theory of something, you interpret the results inside your theory. So when Columbus arrived in the New World, he saw Asian spices and roots. His theory said he should be in Asia.

    2. The Observer Changes the Observed — The act of studying an event can change it. This can happen with anthropologists studying tribes to physicists studying electrons. This is why psychologists use blind and double-blind controls. Science tries to minimize this, pseudoscience does not.

    3. Equipment Constructs Results — The equipment used often determines the results. The size of the telescope shaped and reshaped the size of the universe. The kind of fish net determines what fish it can catch.

    4. Anecdotes != Science — Stories that people pass on is not the same as controlled experiments. Pseudoscience points to anecdotes; science points to reputable studies.
    Problems in Pseudoscientific Thinking

    5. Scientific Language Doesn’t Make It Scientific — Dressing up a belief in scientific language doesn’t make it science. This is easily seen with “creation science” and New Age pseudoscientific mumbo-jumbo.

    6. Bold Statements Do Not Make Claims True — L. Ron Hubbard called Dianetics “a milestone for man comparable to his discovery of fire and superior to his invention of the wheel and the arch.” But it wasn’t. The more extraordinary the claim, the more extraordinary well-tested the evidence must be.

    7. Heresy Does Not Equal Correctness — Copernicus and Galileo and the Wright Brothers were rebels. But just because someone is a rebel doesn’t make them right. Holocaust deniers are rebels, but they need historical evidence for their position. It’s heresy to say Bush planned the 9/11 attack, but that isn’t evidence of the government suppressing the truth.

    8. Burden of Proof — The person making the extraordinary claim has the burden of proving their claim is true and better than the commonly accepted position. If a man claims he moved a mountain with his mind, the burden of proof is on him.

    9. Rumors Do Not Equal Reality — Rumors begin with “I read somewhere that…” or “I heard from someone that….” Before long, the rumor becomes reality, as “I know that…” passes from person to person. These stories are often false. For instance, everyone knows George Washington chopped down a cherry tree and couldn’t lie about it. He also had wooden teeth. Both stories are false.

    10. Unexplained Is Not Inexplicable — Just because you can’t explain something doesn’t mean it can’t be explained. Firewalking seems inexplicable, but once you know the explanation it seems obvious. The same goes for all magic tricks. And even if an expert can’t explain it doesn’t mean it can’t be explained someday. Think of how many things — from germs to atoms to evolution — couldn’t be explained two hundred years ago!

    11. Failures Are Rationalized — Scientists acknowledge failures and reformulate theories. Pseudoscientists ignore or rationalize failures.

    12. After-the-Fact Reasoning — Also known as, “post hoc, ergo propter hoc,” literally, “after this, therefore because of this.” It’s superstition. Because I carried a rabbit’s foot, I sold more products today. Because I have blonde hair, I’m ditzy. Because I used a dowsing stick, I struck water. All superstition. Correlation does not mean causation.

    13. Coincidence — Most people have a very poor understanding of the law of probability. Say you are about to make a call and as your hand touches the phone they call you. How could that be a coincidence? It must be ESP. We forget about the other thousand times we call someone and they don’t call us first. You make 5 baskets in a row, and you’re “on fire.” But statistically your chances are the same as a coin-flip. The human mind looks for patterns and often finds them when there are none.
    Logical Problems in Thinking

    14. Representativeness — Something may seem unusual when it’s not. Baselines must be established. For instance, tapping and scratching sounds in your house may be ghosts, but it’s probably just pipes and rats. Many ships are lost at the Bermuda Triangle, but only because there are more shipping lanes there than in surrounding areas. When that is factored in, the accident rate is actually lower in the Bermuda Triangle.

    15. Emotive Words and False Analogies — Loaded language can be used to provoke emotion and obscure rationality. Industry can be called “raping the environment” or abortion “murdering innocent children” or a political opponent a “communist.” Rarely does this further rational thought, but clouds the issue with emotion and rhetoric.

    16. Appeal to Ignorance — This claims if you can’t disprove something, it must be true. So if you can’t disprove psychic power or ESP or ghosts, they must be real. The problem is you can’t disprove Santa Claus or the Tooth Fairy, either. Belief should come from positive evidence in support of a claim, not a lack of evidence.

    17. Attacking the man —Redirect the focus from thinking about the idea to thinking about the person holding the idea. Calling Darwin a racist or a politician a communist or past figure a slaveholder does not discredit their ideas.

    18. Hasty Generalization — Also known as prejudice, or drawing conclusions before the facts warrant. A couple of bad teachers and it’s a bad school. A couple of bad cars and that brand of automobile is unreliable.

    19. Overreliance on Authorities — We must be careful not to accept a wrong idea from someone we respect, nor write off a good idea because of a supporter we disrespect. Examining the evidence ourselves helps us avoid these errors.

    20. Either-Or — This is the argument that when one position is wrong, another must be accepted. For instance, creationists spend much of their time attacking evolution because they think if evolution is wrong, then creationism must be right. But for a theory to be accepted, it must be superior to the old theory. A new theory needs evidence in favor of it, not just against the opposition.

    21. Circular Reasoning — Also known as begging the question, this is when the conclusion or claim is merely a restatement of one of the premises. For instance in religion: Is there a God? Yes. How do you know? Because my holy book says so. How do you know your holy book is correct? Because it was inspired by God. Or in science: What is gravity? The tendency for objects to be attracted to one another. Why are objects attracted to one another? Gravity. While these definitions can at times be useful, we need to try and construct operational definitions that can be tested, falsified, and refuted.

    22. Reductio ad Absurdum and the Slippery SlopeReductio ad absurdum is the refutation of an argument by carrying the argument to its logical end and so reducing it to absurd conclusion. For instance: Eating ice cream will cause you to gain weight. Gaining weight makes you overweight. Overweight people die of heart disease. Thus eating ice cream leads to death. A creationist might argue: Evolution doesn’t need God. If you don’t need God, you reject him. Without God, there is no morality. Therefore, people who believe in evolution reject God and have no morals.
    Psychological Problems in Thinking

    23. Effort Inadequacies and the Need for Certainty, Control, and Simplicity — Most of us want certainty, want to control our environment, and want nice, neat simple explanations. But it doesn’t always work like that. Solutions are sometimes simple, but other times they are complex. We must be willing to make an effort to understand complex theories instead of rejecting them out of laziness.

    24. Problem-Solving Inadequacies — When solving problems, we often form a hypothesis and then look only for examples to confirm it. When our hypothesis is wrong, we are slow to change our hypothesis. We also gravitate towards simple solutions even when they don’t explain everything.

    25. Ideological Immunity — We all resist changing fundamental beliefs. We build up “immunity” against new ideas that do not fit within our paradigm. The higher the intelligence, the greater the potential for ideological immunity. This can be the greatest barrier to changing our weird beliefs.

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    Re: Why People Believe Weird Things

    Yes, it can be very difficult to find a "neutral" perspective, especially when there are so many social, cultural, educational biases and conditioned responses as well as even fear or paranoia etc.

    I think another issue involves risk taking and the manner people differ in what avenues they feel are worth pursuing as well. It would seem that things with greater potential reward are deserving of greater effort and risk, though to what extent this might be the case can vary between people a lot depending upon their natural tendencies or what their beliefs might suggest as to the likelihood of something being true or false.

    There's the simple version of things that children are taught ... and then there's reality which appears difficult to contain in a simple model and it could very well even be that things that are true for one person may not be true for another.

    On the other hand, it doesn't appear to serve much purpose to place everything into a mushy context with only shades of gray and nothing solid to build upon, but in that case it seems best to not worry about what are the claimed democratic, cultural or scientific views. I enjoy the tangible and (at least semi-) consistent results that come from building solid models and structures of things (that at least appear to persist) and can be characterized, though finding and building upon that can require a lot of hypothesizing, experimentation and failures, but when you find those kernels of truth, especially the ones that are widely applicable and explain many phenomenon and allow one to more coherently interact and determine their environment, well it's a process of discovery that can be quite enjoyable and rewarding

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    Re: Why People Believe Weird Things

    I think the strangest thing I believe at the moment, if you want to call something like at the moment belief, is ...

    That there is something very real connected to religion (source). Such as, very long ago, when we were even more primative than we are today, we were visited. Being the primative-cons that we are, a couple of gennerations or so after "the big visit," the power hungry began to flavor tales, make claims, and add "magic" to the story of the visitors, all of course for power, wealth, and status. We were sort of like the ewoks, and they were treated like c3po. I know it's crazy, but it sounds great pretty interesting to me.
    "I know who I was, but I do not know who I am, or who I shall become."
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    Re: Why People Believe Weird Things

    Down with pseudoscience (on Toequest, too)—and up with Michael Shermer.

    Hey, I heard a noise in the bush; it costs me nothing to be alert and careful in case it's a bear, which it hardly ever is; however, if I ignore it, it may cost me everything.

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    Re: Why People Believe Weird Things

    My thoughts on our preoccupation with the weird, is related to our innate biological perspective to recognize 'patterns.'

    Whenever we observe something for the first time, we have no parameters within which to examine it, and in fitting this new piece of information, our mind is going to 'model' any number of potential explanations prior to filtering them for verification with our other established personal or collective 'base data'.

    That the collective data base has proved erroneous many times over history, I see as a demonstration of this hypothesis in action.

    Our understanding of the world and the universe has increased exponentially, and the weird shall ever be with us, until we can know the infinite, the very concept of which seems just a little 'weird' to me, as we are creatures of immense potential, yet such limited span, when compared to the horizon of all that ever was and all that ever may be.
    So many paths to the same destination,
    would, but I could, experience them all...

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    Re: Why People Believe Weird Things

    Quote Originally Posted by labelwench
    My thoughts on our preoccupation with the weird, is related to our innate biological perspective to recognize 'patterns.'

    Whenever we observe something for the first time, we have no parameters within which to examine it, and in fitting this new piece of information, our mind is going to 'model' any number of potential explanations prior to filtering them for verification with our other established personal or collective 'base data'.

    ...
    I remember hearing about some tests they did where someone would be shown an image that might have been a "randomly" generated image or a distorted, but not "random", image of something and people tended to have different thresholds of confidence that was rather consistent for each individual, and this could range from a bias to either seeing a greater than intended content to being unable to even recognize the distorted content in the images.



    ----------------------------

    P.S. I've been putting references to the concept of randomness in quotes for a while now to emphasize that few things appear to be without cause or a potentially predetermined relationship to other things. Randomness, in an idealized sense, may not even exist in the universe but instead we could be witnessing things of high complexity and discovering things that were previously unknown.

    For example, in the above example, whoever was conducting the experiment was denoting what images were considered to be random or not, though I'm certain that even the supposed random images were likely either 1) created by the experimentor (unlikely) 2) generated by a pseudo-random algorithm on a computer (I think this was the case) or 3) generated by a (complex) physical process (i.e. ink blots for a Rorschach Tests) that constructed unanticipacted features.

    It's difficult in any of these cases to say that images that the images had no form that were generated by processess, that though complex or possessing of initially unknown features, were still potentially entirely determined by their manner of selection, creation and/or the preexisting environment from which they arose. Alternately, if there was truly a random component present, it would appear to not entirely describe these images as I'm certain we could show various relationships such as 1) the material used to construct the image influenced the end result, 2) aspects constructed by the experimentor possessed repeatable characteristics and 3) "randomly" generated images by a computer were determined by the construction/selection of algorithms and that these generated images with specific (though potentially complex and non-obvious) mathematical relationships spread across them etc.

    It would be funny if that image above had been one of the "randomly" generated images and some of the "overly imaginative" people had said they saw a dalamation

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    Re: Why People Believe Weird Things

    A dog, standing on grass I'll say (nut I must confess, I considered saying street/sidewalk area foreground and tree/grass in back ground-greaterdetail than intended? lol), with a tree in the background. It is definitely a dollmation!!

    oh i'm soo funny!
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    Re: Why People Believe Weird Things

    On several occasions of taking the Rorschach - ink blot - tests, I've consistently interpreted the image-patterns as being what you get when you fold a wet ink mark in half on a sheet of paper and wind up with a bilateral impartment. I don't ever see anything else and tell the test giver what I just described here. I realize they want to see how each individual person will incline to interpret the various patterns, but all I can ever think of is the means by which the bilateral 'ink blot' was generated.

    The Virgin Mary and several renditions of Michaelangelo and Davinci masterpieces have been pointed out to me in several localities including in cloud formations and on a slice of pizza, but I always see - however remarkable - coincidental randomness.

    Whereas, Planck's constant h factor, and E=MC2 is weird.

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    Re: Why People Believe Weird Things

    Quote Originally Posted by Meem View Post
    A dog, standing on grass I'll say (nut I must confess, I considered saying street/sidewalk area foreground and tree/grass in back ground-greaterdetail than intended? lol), with a tree in the background. It is definitely a dollmation!!

    oh i'm soo funny!

    Hey Meem, we're sharing the same hallucination! The Dalmation dog is sniffing the ground and ambling away from the observer, right? Looks like he'll wind up at that tree to his right... : )

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    Re: Why People Believe Weird Things

    Quote Originally Posted by RascalPuff View Post
    On several occasions of taking the Rorschach - ink blot - tests, I've consistently interpreted the image-patterns as being what you get when you fold a wet ink mark in half on a sheet of paper and wind up with a bilateral impartment. I don't ever see anything else and tell the test giver what I just described here. I realize they want to see how each individual person will incline to interpret the various patterns, but all I can ever think of is the means by which the bilateral 'ink blot' was generated.

    The Virgin Mary and several renditions of Michaelangelo and Davinci masterpieces have been pointed out to me in several localities including in cloud formations and on a slice of pizza, but I always see - however remarkable - coincidental randomness.

    Whereas, Planck's constant h factor, and E=MC2 is weird.
    Yes, it's rather amazing how nature appears to appreciate a lot of bilateral symmetry.

    I think the symmetry is partially an "illusion", if we can call anything of reality an illusion and it arises from making differential/relative/comparative observations along the "interface" of energy and matter or more abstractly the form and formless - logic and time don't appear to rigidly connect - finite systems appear unable to describe change, though dynamically changing symmetry could be the missing link in this. For example, if we were to attempt to understand meteors by listening to reverberations they create within a planet, we'd detect impacts reverberating through the planet. This would impose those planetary characteristics upon the impact events and these planetary characteristics we slowly change over time as the meteors increased its mass and altered it.

    If we did not recognize that the reverberations were altered by our "observational platform" of the planet (as in, for example, a believe that there exists an "objective reality" that is not subjectively influenced - we might also believe that the physical planet itself is capable of describing the source and properties of meteors in space ... sorry, I couldn't resist ), then we'd likely believe that the meteors were planets almost identical to our own - that's where the illusion arises and the symmetrical hemispheres of the brain are similar and one half is seen as more creative and the other half more logical, but I believe the creative "half" arises from comparisons with the preexisting form of logic in the other "half". Actually, the form of the brain should more fundamentally be spherical with a detection of energy along the surface giving rise to an appearance of two rather symmetrical forms.




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